Yes a great year notwithstanding the tarts-knickers DT effect. Thanks and looking forward to hearing about the new additions.

The assertion that China will refuse to purchase NVIDIA’s H200 chips appears to be FUD imo. Economic imperatives and technological realities strongly suggest otherwise.Recent policy shifts under the Trump administration have relaxed restrictions, permitting H200 exports to pre-approved Chinese customers subject to a 25% surcharge earmarked for United States purposes (Reuters). For hyperscalers such as Tencent, ByteDance, and Alibaba, which have been constrained by the limited performance of the sanctioned H20 or by reliance on smuggled inventory, the H200’s 989 BF16 TFLOPS represent a roughly sevenfold leap over the H20’s 148 TFLOPS.Domestic alternatives, principally Huawei’s Ascend 910C, remain markedly inferior. Independent benchmarks place the 910C at approximately 76% of H200 performance per chip (15,840 TPP vs 12,032 TPP) and significantly lower efficiency at cluster level, with power consumption up to 2.3 times higher for equivalent throughput. Production is further hampered by SMIC’s 7 nm yields, reportedly below 30%, creating chronic supply shortages. Beijing’s reported requirements—mandatory justification for foreign purchases and restrictions on public-sector use—are largely procedural and political signalling rather than outright prohibition. President Xi’s recent “positive” remarks on United States-China technology co-operation reinforce pragmatic acceptance. In the absence of a credible domestic substitute capable of training frontier-scale models, Chinese enterprises are expected to acquire H200s in volume, potentially generating 10s of billions USD in additional revenue for NVIDIA in 2026–2027.

They will beat and raise. The company has a captive market and the wind at its back. What I see(and saw when we invested) is a secular shift in their key memory segments. Next year we are looking at $20 eps. It's multiple is very low and it should rerate when the shift is confirmed.

Zuckerberg announces meaningful cut backs to the cash burning Metaverse (incl headsets), part of Reality Labs which would be accretive to earnings in the range $5B. Stock pops. Nice. [image: 1764858421688-screenshot-2025-12-04-at-14.22.39.png]

Thanks, hopefully just something simple then.

Nice pop for vertex today Vertex’s appearance at the Citi Healthcare Conference hit the right notes for investors, and the market reaction reflects it. The company reiterated the strength of its core cystic-fibrosis portfolio, which continues to deliver dependable, expanding revenue and remains the backbone of its multi-billion-dollar quarterly performance. Management reinforced that recent growth trends are holding up well, with momentum expected to persist. A major positive was the emphasis on financial capacity. Vertex sits on roughly USD 12 billion in cash and marketable securities, giving it the freedom to progress late-stage programmes without taking on debt or issuing shares. That level of balance-sheet strength is uncommon in biotech and signals stability as well as optionality for future deals or accelerated development plans. Pipeline updates also contributed to the upbeat tone. Programmes in kidney disease, gene editing and other high-value therapeutic areas were highlighted as near- and medium-term opportunities with significant commercial potential. Analysts have already argued that Vertex may be priced below its long-term fair value, and today’s messaging essentially validated that view by showing that both innovation and execution remain firmly on track. Overall, the presentation delivered a clear story: robust revenue today, meaningful breakthroughs underway and the financial muscle to drive both without compromise.

Nice to see you back :).

That explains why my £12 something dropped down to £11 something, then went back up again.

@n5tew Good morning, to answer your questions, yes there are a handful of lenders that still offer offset mortgages, though they’re relatively niche now. With these, you only pay interest on your mortgage minus what’s in a linked savings account, which can significantly reduce your interest costs if you hold a large savings balance. There are indeed fixed rate products although they will tend to be notably higher than your conventional fixed rate products. If you would like to discuss this in further detail, please let me know, my email is michael.searle@cobens.co.uk, or we can arrange a meeting to dive into specifics.

@SiriAlexaAl Yep, that's what's happened.

GOOG shares are up circa 6% in PM to an ATH of $293 due to Berkshire Hathaway disclosing a 4-5B investment. Nice to see the stock make gains however it's not particularly rational is it. Berkshire buying the stock is not an exciting event which has much meaning. What do they know. They've ignored the stock for 20 years and now think it's cheap-maybe, but they hardly have a great tech driven record.

@mikeiow I'm in a similar boat. Too much time on my hands and with a few pennies to spend at the bookies (I mean stock market). I used a spredsheet to come up with the chart, but couldn't produce anything other than dots on a scatter chart. There were no labels next to each dot, other than their value. I, also, couldn't produce the curves on the same chart. @Adam-Kay thanks for the steer. I'll do some googling at SD and beta.

Hi R, Yes it's a display gremlin. Ive notified admin to fix it. Ive looked at the Switch and that has been processed. Being two legs to the transaction , one out and one in the DB shows one but not the other. Regards Adam

Ok thanks.

Hi Siri It would be the 25/26 year now, if the birth is really close to tax year end just drop me a mail and I'll get the contribution set up. Cheers Nik

It's a bit more nuanced than that, G. And glad you did something nice with your gains, that's what it's all about, benefiting through investment. People will always take profit into new highs, we've discussed the psychology What are 'expectations'? You could say even higher than what was delivered so is it the first point or the second? For example MSFT X, I posted those numbers(official market expectations) and they comfortably beat, all the reporting entities did. However different reactions. You might also have noticed after hours RED/GREEN/RED(same company) and then at the open big Green. Derivatives in play again. You will often hear the cliche 'it's priced in'. I'm not a fan of the catchphrase. It's largely nonsense. The PH resident IFA will say 'you don't have an edge against the pro' just word-salad. You don't need an edge, just don't chase meme stocks, chase quality and have some patience. That is why we simply stay the course. A drop yesterday and looks like(given 300+ futures) gains today.

When a holding is sold, you would only last see the value(opening) from the previous close. If it's £10,325, you can't expect to realise that number because a sale is conducted during the next available auction(market) and FX changes. You might get more or less but you won't receive the same number. The ££ are realised at trade time and this can be any time from 2.30 something to 3pm or later (it's up to winterflood, the biggest broker in europe give or take), it takes 3 working days with equity, 5 for any tracker as it's global(so if a portfolio holds any trackers it's 5 days). Money then moves out of the portfolio to your account with us then to your external bank. And that is a day for each step. These are all working days so add in a weekend and or miss 9am cuts-off and you should allow at least a week. Plan ahead for your needs Your holdings with us are in your name, unlike unit trusts(Vanguard etc) where it is pooled so naturally they can process this a day or two sooner.

Adam, Nik You both have urgent emails on this

MSFT signed an agreement with OpenAI valuing its stake at roughly $135 billion. Microsoft said it supports OpenAI’s move to form a public benefit corporation (PBC) and undertake recapitalisation. Following the deal, Microsoft holds an investment representing around 27% of OpenAI Group PBC on an as-converted diluted basis, including employees, investors, and the OpenAI Foundation. Excluding recent funding rounds, Microsoft’s earlier stake was 32.5%. OpenAI has also agreed to purchase $250 billion in Azure services, though Microsoft will no longer have exclusive rights to supply computing power. The partnership maintains Microsoft as OpenAI’s primary model collaborator, with exclusive intellectual property and Azure API rights until artificial general intelligence (AGI) is achieved. Microsoft’s IP rights extend through 2032, excluding OpenAI’s consumer hardware, while OpenAI gains flexibility to collaborate with third parties.

ExIM, No problem, no intention of engaging but im not about to let intentional misinformation go unchecked.