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Oracle (ORCL)

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    Following on from the above it has been confirmed that OpenAi Stargate is the Oracle customer-they have signed a deal for 4.6GW of compute. An enormous amount and the biggest ever contract for data centre HPC. Oracle-cloud revenue today is running at around $11B/annum and this will add $30B starting in 2028. As part of the deal oracle will invest $40 billion of its own money and the rest likely from other Stargate partners.

    As per Jensen 1GW = $40B revenue to Nvidia and as we can see this is 4.6GW and equates to at least 30,000 racks.

    My take on this- it confirms the narrative that Nvidia are just getting started. Secondly, first move to Oracle/Openai. What will MSFT/AWS/GOOG/Meta/XAI do to defend their position? Answer-very likely accelerate and expand their plans materially. They have to. Winners will certainly be:

    MU
    NVDA
    SMCI
    AVGO
    ORCL

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    • A Offline
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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
      #17

      Oracle report earnings, missing by 1 penny. The stock instantly fell 4%. But

      We signed four multi-billion-dollar contracts with three different customers in Q1,” said Oracle CEO, Safra Catz. “This resulted in RPO contract backlog increasing 359% to $455 billion. It was an astonishing quarter—and demand for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure continues to build.

      The stock is now up 20%+ after hours, marching towards 300. We acquired the stock in February for circa 150.

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      • N Offline
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        n5tew
        wrote on last edited by
        #18

        +26% after hours - great result and fund selection 👍

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        • A Offline
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          Adam Kay
          Global Moderator
          wrote on last edited by
          #19

          Numbers so big, they defy logic. We said 3 years ago that this space would experience a decades low super-bull run. Right here is hard evidence of that.

          Screenshot 2025-09-10 at 07.13.05.png

          The surge in RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations) to $455 billion, a 359% YoY increase, is largely attributed to the signing of large-scale cloud contracts, particularly for AI workloads. Cloud RPO alone grew nearly 500% YoY in Q1 FY2026, indicating a shift toward long-term, high-value commitments.

          Oracle’s strategic focus on AI infrastructure and its ability to provide cost-effective, high-performance cloud solutions **have positioned it as a preferred provider for AI-driven workloads, as noted by CEO Safra Catz: “**Oracle has become the preferred destination for AI workloads.”

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          • A Offline
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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote on last edited by
            #20

            When we decided to buy Oracle we took the view that their expertise in database management would cement them in the AI ecosystem-we were right!

            Leadership in Database Management: Oracle’s unparalleled expertise in database management, particularly for big data, remains a cornerstone of its success. CEO Safra Catz and CTO Larry Ellison emphasised the company’s vectorised database capabilities, which are critical for AI workloads and handling large, sensitive datasets. Cloud database services generated $2.8 billion in annualised revenue, up 32% year-over-year, underscoring Oracle’s dominance in this space.

            Security and Data Sovereignty: Large corporate customers prioritise security and control over their critical data, opting not to migrate to competing clouds like AWS, Azure, or GCP due to privacy and compliance concerns. Ellison highlighted Oracle’s ability to provide secure, private AI solutions, ensuring data remains within customer-controlled environments. This is a key differentiator, as Oracle’s cloud infrastructure (OCI) is designed to support secure, enterprise-grade data management.
            Multi-Cloud Strategy: Oracle’s integration of OCI regions within competing clouds (AWS, Azure, GCP) saw multi-cloud database revenue soar by 1,529% in Q1. This allows customers to leverage Oracle’s superior database technology without moving sensitive data, reinforcing trust and driving adoption.

            AI Workload Advantage: Oracle’s database leadership is pivotal for AI training and inferencing, where secure, high-performance data handling is essential. Partnerships with AI leaders like OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, and AMD reflect Oracle’s role as the “go-to place for AI workloads,” with remaining performance obligations (RPO) hitting $455 billion, up 359% year-over-year.

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            • A Offline
              A Offline
              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote on last edited by
              #21

              worth a watch-Ellison explaining the F1 AI race. And you have to hand it to him-still working all hours and driven at 81 years young coupled with being the wealthiest man on the planet

              https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/1834809808404238432

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              • R Offline
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                Ronski
                wrote on last edited by
                #22

                Had to double check that, as I thought Google Finace was playing tricks, Oracle really is up 40% today.

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                • A Offline
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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #23

                  yes it is. Having signed +300B ish new contracts. And the CFO said:

                  we expect Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to grow 77% to $18 billion this fiscal year—and then increase to $32 billion, $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion over the subsequent four years."

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                  • A Offline
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                    Adam Kay
                    Global Moderator
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #24

                    further comments...Oracle $ORCL CEO Safra Catz: "Over the next few months, we expect to sign-up several additional multi-billion-dollar customers and RPO is likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollars."

                    If this was the Daily Mail it would also say 'Catz made $108,282,333 in total compensation last year. 🙂 -all Oracle numbers are big!

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                    • A Offline
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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #25

                      Oracle is on the move again(up) based on rumours it will run the US operations of Tik-Tok. According to DT (Trump) 'a deal has been done'. The parties to said deal have yet to comment.

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                      The value of your investments can go down as well as up, and you may get back less than you invested.

                      Cobens is a trading name of Cobens Group Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. We are entered on the Financial Services Register No. 05850981 at https://register.fca.org.uk .

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