PHE and PHT
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The probe by the DOJ amounts to 'A prosecutor in the U.S. attorney's office in San Francisco has asked for information about a former employee that has previously accused Super Micro of accounting violations, according to the Journal.' This will be sacked executive Bob Luong. His statements have been refuted by the company. And in of itself the quantum of the accusations are immaterial.
No one wants to see this drag on and the stock is back to where it was 2 weeks ago.
A reminder, the stock was purchased only 9 months ago and the gain, including todays drop is 133%. 100 of the 133 has been realised
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Twitchy indeed. Things were going great guns earlier on this year but it seems to have been one step forward, two steps back for the summer. I'd hoped that the Fed dropping 50bps would have given the whole thing a good kick in the right direction but it hasn't. The strengthening pound vs. USD hasn't helped, but nonetheless things still seem stickier than I'd like.
If anyone would like to put a finger in the air / consult their crystal ball and make a prediction of when things will get another decent boost then I'd love to hear. (I'm not sure I'll believe them, mind!
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I reckon that you're a tad optimistic
Almost everything else took a kick in the balls.
Its a marathon not a sprint, I'm still about 1% off the yearly high thus far, been a fight to get back up there the past couple of months.
Post election rally into Christmas, hopefully
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PHT was modestly up. I would estimate +35bps. The wider market fell approx 100bps. Gainers were limited to AI related stocks due to SMCI stating that they had what is a record quarter due to DLC server shipments. Their quarterly result will be interesting. Last quarter they delivered 1,350 DLC and it sounds like they have delivered 2,000 this quarter which would equate to 128,000 GPU although some will be air cooled. I won't second guess actual revenue but it looks promising. In Q4 they reported $5.31B and their guide was wide; $6B-$7B. Based on the above it looks, and there is some fill in the gaps work here, an additional 650 DLC servers which are circa 2.5M each , or $1.6B which would put them at the very high end of their guide of $7B. If EPS also comes in as per the guide, this would be $8.27 and 65M shares which translates to $546M net or 7.8% vs 7.6% the previous quarter. I am hoping to see a gross margin in the early 12s although the above looks very promising.
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There non gaap share count is 66M. Also pointing out that their revenue just 2 quarters ago(very recent) was $3.8B so as you can see they are growing very rapidly. We very much to see their margin start to improve which is should with the opening of their Malaysia factory and expansion of US operations. They need to file their 10-k within the next 4 weeks ideally.
