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  3. PHE and PHT

PHE and PHT

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dingg
    wrote on last edited by dingg
    #18

    Better than I suspected, not much change at all on pht or iml
    ๐Ÿ‘

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    • A Offline
      A Offline
      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by
      #19

      PHT was modestly up. I would estimate +35bps. The wider market fell approx 100bps. Gainers were limited to AI related stocks due to SMCI stating that they had what is a record quarter due to DLC server shipments. Their quarterly result will be interesting. Last quarter they delivered 1,350 DLC and it sounds like they have delivered 2,000 this quarter which would equate to 128,000 GPU although some will be air cooled. I won't second guess actual revenue but it looks promising. In Q4 they reported $5.31B and their guide was wide; $6B-$7B. Based on the above it looks, and there is some fill in the gaps work here, an additional 650 DLC servers which are circa 2.5M each , or $1.6B which would put them at the very high end of their guide of $7B. If EPS also comes in as per the guide, this would be $8.27 and 65M shares which translates to $546M net or 7.8% vs 7.6% the previous quarter. I am hoping to see a gross margin in the early 12s although the above looks very promising.

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      • A Offline
        A Offline
        Adam Kay
        Global Moderator
        wrote on last edited by
        #20

        There non gaap share count is 66M. Also pointing out that their revenue just 2 quarters ago(very recent) was $3.8B so as you can see they are growing very rapidly. We very much to see their margin start to improve which is should with the opening of their Malaysia factory and expansion of US operations. They need to file their 10-k within the next 4 weeks ideally.

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        • 2 Offline
          2 Offline
          2BToo
          wrote on last edited by
          #21

          Thanks. Looks like both Dingg and Adam were both right; my portfolio was down, but that was because the PHT gain was more than cancelled out by a drop in PHE.

          A post-election rally into Christmas would be lovely!

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          • A Adam Kay

            Hi LP,

            Screen Shot 2024-09-13 at 11.21.07.png

            2 Offline
            2 Offline
            2BToo
            wrote on last edited by
            #22

            @Adam-Kay

            @Adam-Kay said in PHE and PHT:

            Hi LP,

            Screen Shot 2024-09-13 at 11.21.07.png

            Guys,

            Presuming this is OK with Adam/Nik/Cobens, would it be OK to have a thread where the up-to-date holdings of PHE and PHT are listed?

            I've found this list from Adam but it's nigh on a year old and I know that things have changed since then.

            A nice chap called Peter (peter.*******@gmail.com) did a clever Google Doc showing the listings in each portfolio with a simple performance tracker, but that is now out-of-date (it doesn't show Oracle, which I understand is a new part of PHT).

            Thanks.

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            • A Offline
              A Offline
              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote on last edited by
              #23

              Hi O,

              Out:
              PYPL/PANW/TWLO

              IN:
              MU/ORCL/AVGO

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              • 2 Offline
                2 Offline
                2BToo
                wrote on last edited by
                #24

                Thanks. So the list now is as follows:

                GOOG
                META
                MSFT
                VRTX
                AAPL
                ORCL
                KLAC
                ADBE
                MEDP
                NVDA
                AVGO
                MU
                SMCI

                Does PHE remain unchanged?

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                • A Offline
                  A Offline
                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #25

                  The Equity portfolio, save for weight changes, remains unchanged, for now

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                  • L Offline
                    L Offline
                    LastPoster
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #26

                    @Adam-Kay said in Oracle (ORCL):

                    Medpace

                    I did mention it here and an email will go out, probably next week

                    According to the above (which is from the Oracle thread) I thought Medpace was to be sold

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                    • A Offline
                      A Offline
                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #27

                      Yep-medp too. Ronโ€™s list is correct

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                      • D Offline
                        D Offline
                        dingg
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #28

                        What is pht performance ytd chaps?

                        Tia

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                        • A Offline
                          A Offline
                          Adam Kay
                          Global Moderator
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #29

                          19.18% YTD net of all fees as at 24/7

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                          • 2 Offline
                            2 Offline
                            2BToo
                            wrote on last edited by 2BToo
                            #30

                            And phe?

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                            • A Offline
                              A Offline
                              Adam Kay
                              Global Moderator
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #31

                              Equity is -12.5%

                              We have 19 Portfolios. 18 are positive YTD.

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                              • A Adam Kay

                                Equity is -12.5%

                                We have 19 Portfolios. 18 are positive YTD.

                                2 Offline
                                2 Offline
                                2BToo
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #32

                                @Adam-Kay said in PHE and PHT:

                                Equity is -12.5%

                                We have 19 Portfolios. 18 are positive YTD.

                                Bother. I have a good chunk of money in the non-positive one!

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                                • D Offline
                                  D Offline
                                  dingg
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #33

                                  You're not alone ๐Ÿ˜ฉ

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                                  • D dingg

                                    You're not alone ๐Ÿ˜ฉ

                                    2 Offline
                                    2 Offline
                                    2BToo
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #34

                                    @dingg said in PHE and PHT:

                                    You're not alone ๐Ÿ˜ฉ

                                    ๐Ÿ˜ข

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                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      Jason Knowles
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #35

                                      Out of interest, what portfolios have people spread there money across.
                                      I'm in3x portfolios
                                      Global growth
                                      Defensive
                                      Ph technology,
                                      Slightly biased to tech and I'm happy with this spread would be interesting to know what others are doing.

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                                      • A Offline
                                        A Offline
                                        Adam Kay
                                        Global Moderator
                                        wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                                        #36

                                        I don't mind disclosing the following with the caveat, everyone's situation is different by virtue of their:

                                        age
                                        appetite for volatility
                                        time to retirement
                                        total liquid assets
                                        lifestyle and cash requirements

                                        For example, we do have clients of advanced years(80+) with 100% of their assets with us in Tech. I happen to know that number represents less than 10% of their liquid funds.

                                        Conversely we have JISA accounts where their trustee has chosen MM or bonds.

                                        The point being, investment selection is based on many factors which you must weigh. Investment decisions should not be made based on a poll. If anyone wants to discuss their investment choices myself or Nik are happy to discuss. Our guidance service is FOC.

                                        Total assets under management % split and 3 year rank(1-5) performance:

                                        Lifestyle 40% (2)
                                        Tech 18%(1)
                                        IMOP 12%(4)
                                        PHE 8.5%(5)
                                        Index 8%(3)
                                        Other

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                                        • S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Slow Horses
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #37

                                          @Adam-Kay what was the final performance for PHT for 2025?

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                                          The value of your investments can go down as well as up, and you may get back less than you invested.

                                          Cobens is a trading name of Cobens Group Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. We are entered on the Financial Services Register No. 05850981 at https://register.fca.org.uk .

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