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Micron Technology

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    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote last edited by
    #91

    The big price hikes are in the HPC area with some spill over into consumer electronics segments mainly because manufacturers are prioritising HPC leaving undersupply in other consumer areas. However the market is highly competitive and efficient and generally tech gets cheaper.💾

    I think for what it is this is a big deal for Apple and the consumer.

    Screenshot 2026-03-10 at 07.51.33.png

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      2BToo
      wrote last edited by
      #92

      Ha! I've never spent as much as £599 on a single piece of tech in my entire life; I doubt the sum total of what I've spent on tech in the last 50 years tops £1200. But then I'm cheap, and I like to make old things last, and I get a perverse kick out of taking old tech out of other people's bins and making it last for another five years ....

      Perhaps I'm weird, but spending £600 on a computer seems like a kings ransom!

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        Adam Kay
        Global Moderator
        wrote last edited by Adam Kay
        #93

        Sir Chomps is a friendly boy, really😊

        Screenshot 2026-03-10 at 10.16.16.png

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          Adam Kay
          Global Moderator
          wrote last edited by
          #94

          Applied Materials and Micron Technology have announced a strategic partnership to develop next-generation memory technologies for artificial intelligence. The collaboration focuses on advancing DRAM, High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and NAND by jointly working on new chip architectures, materials and semiconductor manufacturing processes.

          The partnership will be centred around Applied Materials’ EPIC research centre (cool name), a major semiconductor innovation hub designed to accelerate the transition from research to large-scale manufacturing. Applied Materials is investing around $5 billion in the facility, providing the infrastructure for collaborative semiconductor development. Micron’s contribution will come through engineering teams, joint R&D programmes and its existing memory innovation centres.

          By combining Micron’s expertise in memory chip design with Applied Materials’ leadership in semiconductor equipment and fabrication technology, the two companies aim to develop faster, more energy-efficient memory specifically optimised for AI workloads.

          The timing is significant because AI systems increasingly face a memory bandwidth bottleneck. Modern AI accelerators from companies such as NVIDIA require extremely high-speed memory like HBM to keep powerful processors supplied with data.

          Micron has reacted positively to the news!

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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote last edited by
            #95

            Just speculating but I model the impact of the price increases. The MU guide factored in 'ASP +bit growth cumulative' of 41% however on avg ASP is 50% above this. Could they....

            It's very difficult to have any real handle on numbers because there are so many moving parts and the pricing is changing so rapidly. But they will materially beat and likely guide higher again. My scenario is not priced in. Wallstreet consensus is $18.7/$8.60! Whilst my model is aggressive, Wallstreet is wrong for certain imo.

            Screenshot 2026-03-10 at 16.21.23.png

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              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote last edited by
              #96

              Lots of Micron news flooding in. Impressive stuff...

              50% overnight hike in NAND flash prices (as highlighted by Phison and industry trackers) is proving exceptionally positive for Micron Technology.This surge, rooted in acute supply constraints and explosive AI infrastructure demand for enterprise SSDs, directly enhances Micron's profitability.

              Margins will expand with earnings, driven by products like G9-based PCIe Gen6 SSDs and massive QLC models (122TB/245TB) qualifying at hyperscalers (those a simply massive solid state drives). And to give you an idea the 50% is a blended 'nand' price price. Cutting edge drives EG 122TB QLC was quoted $12,400 and jumped to $37,000, almost over night. Hard to get your head around that

              The pricing power from the shortage lifts average selling prices sharply (NAND ASPs projected to rise ~127% in 2026), boosting gross margins and free cash flow. Micron has pivoted away from lower-margin consumer segments (exiting Crucial brand) to prioritise enterprise/data centre allocations, gaining market share amid tight supply.

              Earnings next Wednesday. It will be explosive imo.

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                mikeiow
                wrote last edited by
                #97

                So good you said it twice 😜
                Thanks for the updates, @Adam-Kay 👍

                @2BToo - I like tech to earn it’s cost, but I also like a lot of it…..fairly invested the fruity company, so finally upgraded my 12Pro model for the 17Pro, mostly for the camera (I can find pics of family & friends for any occasion, plus holidays are well documented).
                Guess I help keep these tech companies rolling in my own little way.

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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote last edited by
                  #98

                  Agreed on the usual big draw(for me too) is the camera, otherwise a phone is a phone and I tend to change it when the Apps I use start being unsupported and the battery is worn out. Apple products are a premium, I must put 15 hours a week into the iPad Pro and have done for 8 years and it's still fine. Whilst no longer in use my old iMac lasted for 12 years before I changed it last year. Maybe ive been lucky but reliability, durability has been flawless.

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                    Adam Kay
                    Global Moderator
                    wrote last edited by Adam Kay
                    #99

                    This analyst seems even more optimistic...not long to wait now (Wednesday)

                    Micron (MU) continues to garner positive sentiment ahead of its Q2 earnings next week. Brokerage firm GF Securities just upped its price target on the stock to $571.
                    In a note to clients, analyst Jeff Pu reasoned “We now forecast DRAM contract prices to rise by 100% in 1Q26, followed by >30% QoQ in 2Q26 with further upside given current asking prices in 50-60% range. For Micron, we forecast FY2Q26 revenue to be $23B with [a] gross margin of 77%. Looking ahead, we expect 3Q26 revenue guidance to be $29B and a margin further [to] grow to 83%.

                    NB. Guidance was $8.40 eps on $18.5B revenue with 68% GM.

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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote last edited by
                      #100

                      Things are busy at MU HQ.....

                      Micron Technology has announced plans to expand its newly acquired Tongluo site in Taiwan with a second chip manufacturing facility focused on DRAM and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). The acquisition of the site from Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation was valued at USD $1.8 billion and includes around 300,000 square feet of existing 300mm cleanroom space.
                      The expansion will add roughly 270,000 square feet of additional cleanroom capacity, with construction expected to begin by the end September 26. Production from the existing facility is anticipated to begin around fiscal 2028, meaning the expansion will not materially affect near-term DRAM supply.

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