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  3. Busy couple of weeks on results front

Busy couple of weeks on results front

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • A Online
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    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote on last edited by
    #177

    We believe we are in the very early stages of a technology/growth revolution. And we only have to be half right. There is no point looking too far out beyond ones nose (10 years) because it just becomes guess work. However the investment in this space is not going to slow down-so says every tech leader and the manufacturers, TSMC, AVGO, MU, META et al. When management at Nvidia say(last week) that they believe for them alone, the health and drug segment(one segment) looks like $100B in revenue for them-they have strong belief based on adoption and progress in this space. The beauty is, we don't have to agree entirely to justify investing in them because today they are the fastest growing company on the planet and have a PE the same as Coke KO. If that doesn't put 'valuation' into perspective,im not sure anything will.

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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by
      #178

      It's looking fruity today in pre market today. With the two AI kings leading the way

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      • A Adam Kay

        It's looking fruity today in pre market today. With the two AI kings leading the way

        R Offline
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        Ronski
        wrote on last edited by
        #179

        Looking healthier today, but it's still going to be a roller coaster of a ride.

        Only this morning I said to a colleague that as long as the businesses aren't damaged by what's going on, they will go back up when things settle down.

        dd139e58-4105-4a21-b49b-f5354b299809-image.png

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        • C Cappo

          Thanks Adam, always good to get some reassurance! I should look back at mine over 12 months or something and see what the overall chart looks like.

          Might survive a few more weeks without resorting to value pasta and cheap ketchup 😆

          M Offline
          M Offline
          mikeiow
          wrote on last edited by
          #180

          @Cappo said in Busy couple of weeks on results front:

          Thanks Adam, always good to get some reassurance! I should look back at mine over 12 months or something and see what the overall chart looks like.

          Might survive a few more weeks without resorting to value pasta and cheap ketchup 😆

          Hey - what’s wrong with value pasta & cheap ketchup?
          🤣
          #loveabargain!

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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote on last edited by
            #181

            That is correct Ron. Markets always oscillate -The focus in your graphic is the 'Increase'. DT doesn't determine the prospects of these holdings in the long term.

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            • S Offline
              S Offline
              SteveRutter
              wrote on last edited by
              #182

              Dear Stock Market,

              Another few days like yesterday please.

              Yours,

              Steve

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                Adam Kay
                Global Moderator
                wrote on last edited by
                #183

                Hi Steve-it was a solid day yesterday. +3.56%/2.46%/0.98% (Tech/IML/Equity). GTC is on deck next week. And as has been mentioned before, this is not a structural move, it's based on fear(unknown). The holdings are sound and coupled with the new additions, will in particular, make the growth portfolio's just how I would want them.

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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                  #184

                  TSMC foundries require huge parcels of land. They had planned on buying a golf course, in fact they have bought it. One snag. the members are refusing to leave. Even offers of paying each golf club member USD 24,000 to walk away couldn't persuade them and there appears to be an impasse (code for 'we want 50k each!) . Officials now say, our takeover of the property will be postponed. 🙂

                  That was for Renmure who requested some more humour.

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                    Renmure Jim
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #185

                    Meow!! 😸

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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #186

                      Check out the latest humanoid robot from Boston Dynamics. It’s impressive. I doubt it will long before the military get involved.
                      Trained on Isaac Sim-Nvidia robot gym
                      Robot hardware-nvidia Jetson

                      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I44_zbEwz_w

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                        mikeiow
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #187

                        The future of warefare 😳
                        Reminds me of this dramatic “demo”, now 7 years old
                        https://youtu.be/TlO2gcs1YvM

                        See https://autonomousweapons.org for more…

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                          Adam Kay
                          Global Moderator
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #188

                          The Wall Street Journal is claiming that the Trump administration won't impose tariffs on Taiwan Semiconductors-given the scale of committed US investment. It doesn't mean they're correct-even they like a bit of fake news however I've always thought it would be resolved based on the evidence, being massive new investment and more recently Jensen Huang also stated that he didn't think the impact would be anything more than minor (whatever the outcome is). He would know more than most.

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                            Adam Kay
                            Global Moderator
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #189

                            The disconnect between markets and reality-and why one should have confidence in business being positive.

                            Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.27.35.png Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.26.27.png Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.25.40.png

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                              Adam Kay
                              Global Moderator
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #190

                              https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/

                              No tariffs on chips. Source

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                                Adam Kay
                                Global Moderator
                                wrote on last edited by global_admin
                                #191

                                Some relevant news over the weekend:

                                1. Gigabyte Technology, a mid size Taiwan server maker said they are sold for AI server through all of 2025 and mid way into 2026. They have committed to expand their manufacturing capacity in Brazil while its Germany, US and Malaysia plants will open later this year.

                                2. TSMC said it will finish all planned fabrication plants as its expansion plans are unchanged.

                                3. Foxconn just reported record revenue due to 'strong pull for AI related products. Foxconn expects momentum to continue'

                                4. Taiwan President William Lai has offered the U.S zero tariffs as a basis for opening talks. Adding he will remove all barriers and increase investment in the U.S.

                                5. Trump stated on Sunday that he is open to talks with China but said China needs to address their surplus

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                                  Adam Kay
                                  Global Moderator
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #192

                                  Alphabet reiterated plans to spend about US$75 billion this year to build out data centre capacity, as “the opportunity with AI is as big as it gets,” said CEO Sundar Pichai, at the Google Cloud Next 2025 conference.

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                                    Adam Kay
                                    Global Moderator
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #193

                                    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reported a nearly 42% surge in Q1 revenue, fueled by strong demand for AI servers

                                    They also split out March(month) which was +46% i.e accelerating

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                                      Adam Kay
                                      Global Moderator
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #194

                                      Australia has rejected China's offer to "join hands" and respond to the escalating trade war, after U.S. President Donald Trump ramped up tariffs on Chinese goods.

                                      "We're not going to be holding hands with China in respect to any contest that's going on in the world," Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles told Sky News Australia.

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                                        Adam Kay
                                        Global Moderator
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #195

                                        I suspect anyone who 'joins hands' with China will get their arm broken by the U.S✋

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                                          Adam Kay
                                          Global Moderator
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #196

                                          A new list of goods to be exempted from the latest round of tariffs on U.S. importers was released, and it includes smartphones, PCs, servers, and other technology goods, many of which are assembled in China.

                                          Apple is the clear, MU memory and 'other components' found in Servers

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