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  3. Busy couple of weeks on results front

Busy couple of weeks on results front

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote on last edited by
    #172

    If it's any consolation cappo, we have faired better than the index(benchmarks) and that 10% was rather swiftly gained. As I have mentioned previously, this isn't a structural decline. It's speculative . It will pass. The correction in July 2024 was just as bad. The question you want to ask yourself is, will the businesses we invest in really make less money? By and large I would say, little to no impact operationally. We don't actually know what the policy is because it changes every 5 minutes. It's a Tempest/Squall.

    The chances of chip tariffs on Taiwan have abated significantly (due to the massive US investment undertakings). As always I would suggest 'keep calm' and carry on.

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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by
      #173

      And also don't forget that 1/3rd of the drop+, 4.5% is actually the USD which has weakened (pushing 1.30)-due to the UK being a a bit of a mess and having sticky inflation, resulting in higher rates which draws in ££ seeking a higher yield.

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        Cappo
        wrote on last edited by
        #174

        Thanks Adam, always good to get some reassurance! I should look back at mine over 12 months or something and see what the overall chart looks like.

        Might survive a few more weeks without resorting to value pasta and cheap ketchup 😆

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          exIM
          wrote on last edited by
          #175

          I'm pretty sure most of us are here for the long haul, fundamental's are good for what we're invested in, have faith/patience and eventually we can all celebrate ✌

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            2BToo
            wrote on last edited by
            #176

            Echo the comments thus far. We're investing, not trading. Worse storms have been weathered and forgotten about.

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              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote on last edited by
              #177

              We believe we are in the very early stages of a technology/growth revolution. And we only have to be half right. There is no point looking too far out beyond ones nose (10 years) because it just becomes guess work. However the investment in this space is not going to slow down-so says every tech leader and the manufacturers, TSMC, AVGO, MU, META et al. When management at Nvidia say(last week) that they believe for them alone, the health and drug segment(one segment) looks like $100B in revenue for them-they have strong belief based on adoption and progress in this space. The beauty is, we don't have to agree entirely to justify investing in them because today they are the fastest growing company on the planet and have a PE the same as Coke KO. If that doesn't put 'valuation' into perspective,im not sure anything will.

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                Adam Kay
                Global Moderator
                wrote on last edited by
                #178

                It's looking fruity today in pre market today. With the two AI kings leading the way

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                • A Adam Kay

                  It's looking fruity today in pre market today. With the two AI kings leading the way

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                  Ronski
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #179

                  Looking healthier today, but it's still going to be a roller coaster of a ride.

                  Only this morning I said to a colleague that as long as the businesses aren't damaged by what's going on, they will go back up when things settle down.

                  dd139e58-4105-4a21-b49b-f5354b299809-image.png

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                  • C Cappo

                    Thanks Adam, always good to get some reassurance! I should look back at mine over 12 months or something and see what the overall chart looks like.

                    Might survive a few more weeks without resorting to value pasta and cheap ketchup 😆

                    M Offline
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                    mikeiow
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #180

                    @Cappo said in Busy couple of weeks on results front:

                    Thanks Adam, always good to get some reassurance! I should look back at mine over 12 months or something and see what the overall chart looks like.

                    Might survive a few more weeks without resorting to value pasta and cheap ketchup 😆

                    Hey - what’s wrong with value pasta & cheap ketchup?
                    🤣
                    #loveabargain!

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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #181

                      That is correct Ron. Markets always oscillate -The focus in your graphic is the 'Increase'. DT doesn't determine the prospects of these holdings in the long term.

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                        SteveRutter
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #182

                        Dear Stock Market,

                        Another few days like yesterday please.

                        Yours,

                        Steve

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                          Adam Kay
                          Global Moderator
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #183

                          Hi Steve-it was a solid day yesterday. +3.56%/2.46%/0.98% (Tech/IML/Equity). GTC is on deck next week. And as has been mentioned before, this is not a structural move, it's based on fear(unknown). The holdings are sound and coupled with the new additions, will in particular, make the growth portfolio's just how I would want them.

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                            Adam Kay
                            Global Moderator
                            wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                            #184

                            TSMC foundries require huge parcels of land. They had planned on buying a golf course, in fact they have bought it. One snag. the members are refusing to leave. Even offers of paying each golf club member USD 24,000 to walk away couldn't persuade them and there appears to be an impasse (code for 'we want 50k each!) . Officials now say, our takeover of the property will be postponed. 🙂

                            That was for Renmure who requested some more humour.

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                              Renmure Jim
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #185

                              Meow!! 😸

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                                Adam Kay
                                Global Moderator
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #186

                                Check out the latest humanoid robot from Boston Dynamics. It’s impressive. I doubt it will long before the military get involved.
                                Trained on Isaac Sim-Nvidia robot gym
                                Robot hardware-nvidia Jetson

                                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I44_zbEwz_w

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                                  mikeiow
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #187

                                  The future of warefare 😳
                                  Reminds me of this dramatic “demo”, now 7 years old
                                  https://youtu.be/TlO2gcs1YvM

                                  See https://autonomousweapons.org for more…

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                                    Adam Kay
                                    Global Moderator
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #188

                                    The Wall Street Journal is claiming that the Trump administration won't impose tariffs on Taiwan Semiconductors-given the scale of committed US investment. It doesn't mean they're correct-even they like a bit of fake news however I've always thought it would be resolved based on the evidence, being massive new investment and more recently Jensen Huang also stated that he didn't think the impact would be anything more than minor (whatever the outcome is). He would know more than most.

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                                      Adam Kay
                                      Global Moderator
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #189

                                      The disconnect between markets and reality-and why one should have confidence in business being positive.

                                      Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.27.35.png Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.26.27.png Screen Shot 2025-04-02 at 08.25.40.png

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                                        Adam Kay
                                        Global Moderator
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #190

                                        https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/

                                        No tariffs on chips. Source

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                                          Adam Kay
                                          Global Moderator
                                          wrote on last edited by global_admin
                                          #191

                                          Some relevant news over the weekend:

                                          1. Gigabyte Technology, a mid size Taiwan server maker said they are sold for AI server through all of 2025 and mid way into 2026. They have committed to expand their manufacturing capacity in Brazil while its Germany, US and Malaysia plants will open later this year.

                                          2. TSMC said it will finish all planned fabrication plants as its expansion plans are unchanged.

                                          3. Foxconn just reported record revenue due to 'strong pull for AI related products. Foxconn expects momentum to continue'

                                          4. Taiwan President William Lai has offered the U.S zero tariffs as a basis for opening talks. Adding he will remove all barriers and increase investment in the U.S.

                                          5. Trump stated on Sunday that he is open to talks with China but said China needs to address their surplus

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