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Micron Technology

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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote last edited by
    #94

    Applied Materials and Micron Technology have announced a strategic partnership to develop next-generation memory technologies for artificial intelligence. The collaboration focuses on advancing DRAM, High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and NAND by jointly working on new chip architectures, materials and semiconductor manufacturing processes.

    The partnership will be centred around Applied Materials’ EPIC research centre (cool name), a major semiconductor innovation hub designed to accelerate the transition from research to large-scale manufacturing. Applied Materials is investing around $5 billion in the facility, providing the infrastructure for collaborative semiconductor development. Micron’s contribution will come through engineering teams, joint R&D programmes and its existing memory innovation centres.

    By combining Micron’s expertise in memory chip design with Applied Materials’ leadership in semiconductor equipment and fabrication technology, the two companies aim to develop faster, more energy-efficient memory specifically optimised for AI workloads.

    The timing is significant because AI systems increasingly face a memory bandwidth bottleneck. Modern AI accelerators from companies such as NVIDIA require extremely high-speed memory like HBM to keep powerful processors supplied with data.

    Micron has reacted positively to the news!

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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote last edited by
      #95

      Just speculating but I model the impact of the price increases. The MU guide factored in 'ASP +bit growth cumulative' of 41% however on avg ASP is 50% above this. Could they....

      It's very difficult to have any real handle on numbers because there are so many moving parts and the pricing is changing so rapidly. But they will materially beat and likely guide higher again. My scenario is not priced in. Wallstreet consensus is $18.7/$8.60! Whilst my model is aggressive, Wallstreet is wrong for certain imo.

      Screenshot 2026-03-10 at 16.21.23.png

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        Adam Kay
        Global Moderator
        wrote last edited by
        #96

        Lots of Micron news flooding in. Impressive stuff...

        50% overnight hike in NAND flash prices (as highlighted by Phison and industry trackers) is proving exceptionally positive for Micron Technology.This surge, rooted in acute supply constraints and explosive AI infrastructure demand for enterprise SSDs, directly enhances Micron's profitability.

        Margins will expand with earnings, driven by products like G9-based PCIe Gen6 SSDs and massive QLC models (122TB/245TB) qualifying at hyperscalers (those a simply massive solid state drives). And to give you an idea the 50% is a blended 'nand' price price. Cutting edge drives EG 122TB QLC was quoted $12,400 and jumped to $37,000, almost over night. Hard to get your head around that

        The pricing power from the shortage lifts average selling prices sharply (NAND ASPs projected to rise ~127% in 2026), boosting gross margins and free cash flow. Micron has pivoted away from lower-margin consumer segments (exiting Crucial brand) to prioritise enterprise/data centre allocations, gaining market share amid tight supply.

        Earnings next Wednesday. It will be explosive imo.

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          mikeiow
          wrote last edited by
          #97

          So good you said it twice 😜
          Thanks for the updates, @Adam-Kay 👍

          @2BToo - I like tech to earn it’s cost, but I also like a lot of it…..fairly invested the fruity company, so finally upgraded my 12Pro model for the 17Pro, mostly for the camera (I can find pics of family & friends for any occasion, plus holidays are well documented).
          Guess I help keep these tech companies rolling in my own little way.

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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote last edited by
            #98

            Agreed on the usual big draw(for me too) is the camera, otherwise a phone is a phone and I tend to change it when the Apps I use start being unsupported and the battery is worn out. Apple products are a premium, I must put 15 hours a week into the iPad Pro and have done for 8 years and it's still fine. Whilst no longer in use my old iMac lasted for 12 years before I changed it last year. Maybe ive been lucky but reliability, durability has been flawless.

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              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote last edited by Adam Kay
              #99

              This analyst seems even more optimistic...not long to wait now (Wednesday)

              Micron (MU) continues to garner positive sentiment ahead of its Q2 earnings next week. Brokerage firm GF Securities just upped its price target on the stock to $571.
              In a note to clients, analyst Jeff Pu reasoned “We now forecast DRAM contract prices to rise by 100% in 1Q26, followed by >30% QoQ in 2Q26 with further upside given current asking prices in 50-60% range. For Micron, we forecast FY2Q26 revenue to be $23B with [a] gross margin of 77%. Looking ahead, we expect 3Q26 revenue guidance to be $29B and a margin further [to] grow to 83%.

              NB. Guidance was $8.40 eps on $18.5B revenue with 68% GM.

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                Adam Kay
                Global Moderator
                wrote last edited by
                #100

                Things are busy at MU HQ.....

                Micron Technology has announced plans to expand its newly acquired Tongluo site in Taiwan with a second chip manufacturing facility focused on DRAM and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). The acquisition of the site from Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation was valued at USD $1.8 billion and includes around 300,000 square feet of existing 300mm cleanroom space.
                The expansion will add roughly 270,000 square feet of additional cleanroom capacity, with construction expected to begin by the end September 26. Production from the existing facility is anticipated to begin around fiscal 2028, meaning the expansion will not materially affect near-term DRAM supply.

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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote last edited by
                  #101

                  Interesting GTC presentation yesterday....
                  You may recall the rumour mill being promulgated by 'Taiwan'-MU excluded from Nvidia Vera Rubin. We said at the time it was untrue and yesterday the CEO slammed the door and put it to bed.

                  The announcements now confirm that Micron’s HBM4 is indeed in high‑volume production for NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin platform. Micron publicly stated at GTC 2026 that its 36 GB 12‑high HBM4 designed for Vera Rubin is shipping in volume and was already moving into customers’ hands in Q1 2026. That directly contradicts the “Micron is excluded” narrative that surfaced in some Taiwan industry blogs and speculative supply‑chain snippets.

                  Those Taiwan “news rags” have a long track record of recycling unsubstantiated hearsay, quoting unnamed sources about supply shares, “Micron being sidelined,” or shipment delays — often without follow‑up confirmations. In this case, Micron’s own statements and multiple confirmed wide‑coverage reports show those rumours were just that: rumours, not facts. The market has now moved past speculation and onto actual production and supply confirmation.

                  Micron îs also sampling 16 high HBM4 ahead of everyone else!

                  Weak minded investors lost billions, believing these reports-so their plan succeeded-as we have mentioned before, the media has form writing hit pieces at the behest of short sellers.

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                    Adam Kay
                    Global Moderator
                    wrote last edited by
                    #102

                    What we have been saying for the past year....happy days

                    SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won: “Chip supply shortages will persist through 2030… a price stabilisation plan will be announced soon.”

                    SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won said the global memory chip shortage is likely to persist for another four to five years, lasting through 2030.

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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote last edited by
                      #103

                      here is the proof-from Microns investor relations portal....

                      Screenshot 2026-03-17 at 09.43.38.png

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