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Nvidia News

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    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote last edited by
    #215

    HSBC Research today issued a report on Cowos capacity, stating, they see evidence of Nvidia wafer allocation at 800k units through 2027. This is the first sign of wafer accelerated growth since June 2025. A recap

    Here is my May 25 estimate based on TSM public comments-this proved accurate QoQ. The important column being Nvidia wafers, circa 105k by year end. I would think e are ahead of this. Remember, there is a direct correlation between wafers and revenue. And HSBC makes this very point.

    If we extrapolated these numbers using the existing expansion cadence we would arrive at circa 570k wafer through 2027. HSNC claims the number is now up to 800K and have modelled GPU(DC) segment revenues of up to $400B. Accordingly they have modelled just under $10 EPS! Accordingly they have issued a new price target of $320.

    Exciting times ahead
    Screenshot 2025-10-16 at 08.11.35.png

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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote last edited by
      #216

      One GPU to rule them all. R100/R200 Rubin

      Screenshot 2025-10-28 at 08.31.17.png

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        Adam Kay
        Global Moderator
        wrote last edited by
        #217

        News just in. Somethings cooking-quick catch up with Jensen before Trump meets Xi. We have speculated about an easing of export restrictions. It's likely imo.

        U.S. President Donald Trump said he will meet Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang on Wednesday.

        Trump is on a visit to Japan and South Korea, where he will meet global leaders and industry chiefs at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, or APEC, events in Gyeongju, South Korea. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are also expected to meet.

        Trump made the remark about meeting Huang in an address to business leaders in Tokyo on Tuesday before traveling to South Korea.

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        • E Online
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          exIM
          wrote last edited by
          #218

          Ah, wondered why the stock is heading towards its ATH , thankfully I dumped my Lynas just in time ๐Ÿ˜Ž

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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote last edited by
            #219

            If they get the green light it can only move upwards imo. ๐Ÿ™‚

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              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote last edited by
              #220

              Jensen at a keynote 30 mins ago just said this:

              "We now have $500 billion in committed business locked in over the next six quartersโ€”that's take-or-pay contracts from our partners, with every slot in our production pipeline filled through 2027. This isn't speculation; it's the foundation of the AI revolution, powered by Blackwell and Rubin architectures, ensuring the United States leads the world in sovereign AI and energy-efficient computing."

              Stock is now at $198, an ATH ๐Ÿ™‚

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                exIM
                wrote last edited by
                #221

                BananaDanceGIF.gif

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                  Ronski
                  wrote last edited by
                  #222

                  Currently at $201.03, hit $203.05 earlier which is an ATH

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                    exIM
                    wrote last edited by
                    #223

                    Worth a watch to see what all the fuss is about...

                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQHK61IDFH4

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                    • A Offline
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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote last edited by Adam Kay
                      #224

                      Curiously, looking at todays slide deck:

                      Screenshot 2025-10-28 at 22.36.15.png

                      compare it to the forecast made earlier in the year-and I can conform up to a quarter or so ago, was very accurate:

                      Screenshot 2025-10-28 at 22.48.24.png . 5.7M Blackwell predicted for 1 year starting and regardless if it's fiscal or calendar, Jensen is suggesting 6M 'today'. Interesting. It suggests they shipped 2M this quarter which is +$5B over their guide excluding gaming, visualisation, autonomous systems and omniverse which is approx 5-6B more. They could report $60B this Q. NB: here he is counting the GPU stand alone $. But it's GPU+DPU+CPU+NV Link+Switch+DGX basecommand+cloud access.

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                        Adam Kay
                        Global Moderator
                        wrote last edited by
                        #225

                        Trump late last night commented on Nvidia's advanced Blackwell AI chips (specifically the GB200 Grace Blackwell Superchip) during a media scrum on October 28, 2025, ahead of his planned high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on October 30, 2025. When asked about potential agenda items for the talks, which also include issues like fentanyl imports and U.S. agriculture, Trump highlighted the chips as a point of discussion, praising U.S. technological superiority.Key Quotes from Trump:"We'll be speaking about Blackwell, it's the super duper chip."
                        "That's our country. We're about 10 years ahead of anybody else in chipsโ€”in the highly sophisticated chips. I think we may be talking about that with President Xi."

                        Screenshot 2025-10-29 at 05.15.44.png

                        A real sample was shown for the first time.
                        Screenshot 2025-10-29 at 05.17.13.png

                        Screenshot 2025-10-29 at 05.23.44.png

                        180KW and $8M give or take.
                        Just the HBM4 memory is > $2M. Go Micron!

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                          Adam Kay
                          Global Moderator
                          wrote last edited by
                          #226

                          I like this:

                          Screenshot 2025-10-29 at 07.45.50.png

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