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General News

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Adam Kay
    Global Moderator
    wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
    #208

    Exactly-and with a twist. It’s carrying ‘everything’ with it in related fields when many high flyers are not worthy imo. As mentioned, Cerebras, huge losses, many software names, never made a profit. Palo Alto trading 80x, AMD 70x, CRWD 130x without the growth. Our average multiple is closer to 20x.

    5 years ago Nvidia traded at 40x with a 20% growth rate. Today it trades at 20x with a growth rate of 80%.

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    • A Offline
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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by
      #209

      Deal signed by both Iran/US- Asian markets opened before 'us' +4.8% lead by memory heavy weights SK/Samsung. Micron today will be interesting. Nasdaq futures +500.

      I can model the Tech returns irrespective on any Migration/KLAC pricing niggles.

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      • A Offline
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        Adam Kay
        Global Moderator
        wrote on last edited by
        #210

        Juneteenth federal holiday today-markets closed but we will reprice for FX tonight

        And yes we expect valuations this morning!

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        • S Offline
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          Steve H
          wrote on last edited by Steve H
          #211

          IMG_2546.jpeg

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            2BToo
            wrote on last edited by
            #212

            alt text

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            • A Offline
              A Offline
              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote last edited by Adam Kay
              #213

              Futures are very strong this morning, Nasdaq +470-no doubt due to Microns phenomenal result

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              • 2 Offline
                2 Offline
                2BToo
                wrote last edited by
                #214

                Well my dashboard is down a bit this morning. And the markets looked good yesterday so I was expecting it to go up ...

                Maybe it'll wash through tomorrow.

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                • A Offline
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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote last edited by
                  #215

                  I would expect down a bit, not much maybe 40-50bps. I havent looked at it. Today will be a monster for technology stocks, well ours anyway

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                  • 2 Offline
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                    2BToo
                    wrote last edited by
                    #216

                    Fair cop. Yes, it was only a little bit down.

                    I'll buckle in for fireworks tomorrow! 🙂

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                    • A Offline
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                      Adam Kay
                      Global Moderator
                      wrote last edited by Adam Kay
                      #217

                      Kimi K3 open source China model hailed as 'awesome'-naysayers cite as evidence China catching up 'boo bad/sell' however just like Deepseek, it's nothing more than theft.

                      Moonshot built Kimi K3 through theft of Anthropic's Fable-distilling some else's work is nothing but cheating and not only that they didn't train them on China chips as they claimed-they used Blackwell B300s via a foreign cloud.

                      As always don't believe the FUD.

                      In other news an also ran Chinese DRAM manufacturer is apparently taking on the big boys-only problem with that is they are 4 years behind (the node) and can't produce any HBM nor will they-and even if they managed to do so their chips won't be allowed anywhere near a western data centre. The market doesn't seem to grasp that it's bleeding edge state of the art enterprise memory that is the gold. Not the sort you find in a memory stick from Argos. Beggars belief. Alas some fall for it.

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                      The value of your investments can go down as well as up, and you may get back less than you invested.

                      Cobens is a trading name of Cobens Group Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. We are entered on the Financial Services Register No. 05850981 at https://register.fca.org.uk .

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