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General News

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Investments and Portfolios
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  • 2 Offline
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    2BToo
    wrote on last edited by
    #88

    Sounds like proper rootin' tootin' stuff Adam, but NVIDIA is down half a percent (50bps) today!

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      Adam Kay
      Global Moderator
      wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
      #89

      As you know Ollie we dont pay much attention to daily/weekly/monthly moves. We look for evidence of company strategy which will pay off in the longer term. Patience is key. In saying that several other holdings did very well today. Micron, KLA, Vertex. Whilst past performance is no indication of future returns, today was a very positive day I would guesstimate 5-6% ytd on tech. Micron and KLA are +20% and +15% YTD! (and for the avoidance of doubt, yes that is 2026).

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      • A Adam Kay

        As you know Ollie we dont pay much attention to daily/weekly/monthly moves. We look for evidence of company strategy which will pay off in the longer term. Patience is key. In saying that several other holdings did very well today. Micron, KLA, Vertex. Whilst past performance is no indication of future returns, today was a very positive day I would guesstimate 5-6% ytd on tech. Micron and KLA are +20% and +15% YTD! (and for the avoidance of doubt, yes that is 2026).

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        2BToo
        wrote on last edited by
        #90

        @Adam-Kay said in General News:

        As you know Ollie we dont pay much attention to daily/weekly/monthly moves. We look for evidence of company strategy which will pay off in the longer term. Patience is key. In saying that several other holdings did very well today. Micron, KLA, Vertex. Whilst past performance is no indication of future returns, today was a very positive day I would guesstimate 5-6% ytd on tech. Micron and KLA are +20% and +15% YTD! (and for the avoidance of doubt, yes that is 2026).

        You're right Adam - I'm being a bit naughty! 🙂

        And today (yesterday) was indeed a cracking day for many companies. I'm looking forward to seeing the figures when the website updates in a couple of hours time.

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          Ducati996R
          wrote on last edited by
          #91

          Have the figures updated from yesterday …

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            Adam Kay
            Global Moderator
            wrote on last edited by
            #92

            not yet. soon im told

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              Adam Kay
              Global Moderator
              wrote on last edited by
              #93

              they have now!

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                Adam Kay
                Global Moderator
                wrote on last edited by
                #94

                I recall someone asking if we are going to make any changes shortly. Possibly. The committee meets end of next week so no decision has been made and also, we won't make changes for change sake.

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                  Adam Kay
                  Global Moderator
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #95

                  TSM's CC Wei quote this week-he's the most conservative man in tech (he did some DD before agreeing to spend $52B this year on Capex

                  "I also double checked their financial status: they are very rich […] much better than TSMC."
                  He was referring to TSMC's major customers—the hyperscalers (e.g., companies like Microsoft, Google/Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and others driving AI demand via Nvidia GPUs and other chips fabricated by TSMC). Wei explained that he personally spoke with them over recent months to verify that AI investments were paying off for their businesses, showing real revenue growth and strong financial returns. He "double-checked" their overall financial health to confirm they had the cash and profitability to sustain massive ongoing orders for advanced chips.

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                    exIM
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #96

                    Just looking at the advancements in how good the AI coding is compared to 6 months ago shows me my money is in the right place, let alone the amount of money all these hyperscalers are putting up... Long may it continue 😎

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                      2BToo
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #97

                      Looks like the dashboard has yet to update for today. I'm expecting quite a drop and it still looks OK, so I'm guessing the bad news is yet to drop.

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                        2BToo
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #98

                        Update: numbers gone south, the dashboard has updated!

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                          Ducati996R
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #99

                          Yep….not too bad thou..expected around 2/3% drop

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                            Adam Kay
                            Global Moderator
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #100

                            All that matters is the big names will be reporting next week-I'm expecting record earnings all round. The tech portfolio is still the best performer in town. Past performance is no indication of future returns.

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                              Adam Kay
                              Global Moderator
                              wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                              #101

                              Or a U turn. 👏

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                                Adam Kay
                                Global Moderator
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #102

                                From a MS report today

                                Screenshot 2026-01-26 at 17.39.36.png

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                                  Adam Kay
                                  Global Moderator
                                  wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                                  #103

                                  Quick update. Both meta and msft beat nicely. Meta is plus 8% and msft is down 4%. Futures plus 250. Both results as posted earlier(solid beats). Happy with the results and regardless, the net portfolio impact is positive.

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                                    Adam Kay
                                    Global Moderator
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #104

                                    What a turn around that was. With metals and the Fed choice causing havoc over the weekend I was bemused, which is a good way to describe the nonsense. Checking in at 0630 seeing a sea of red a lot of head scratching ensued. Steadily back it came. But strong green(everywhere). Very nice to see.

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                                      2BToo
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #105

                                      Big numbers arriving tomorrow morning with the dashboard update?

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                                        Adam Kay
                                        Global Moderator
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #106

                                        India's deal with the US

                                        Screenshot 2026-02-03 at 08.27.29.png

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                                          Adam Kay
                                          Global Moderator
                                          wrote on last edited by Adam Kay
                                          #107

                                          AppLovin’s(APP) recent collapse is a textbook example of how fast sentiment can turn when a high-multiple story meets credible disruption risk. Just weeks ago, the stock was riding high near $745, priced for near-flawless execution and continued dominance of the mobile ad stack. Today, it’s below $400 — a brutal near-50% drawdown in a matter of weeks. That’s not noise. That’s repricing.

                                          The catalyst wasn’t a blow-up in earnings, but something the market arguably fears more: structural risk. The emergence of CloudX — a new, well-funded startup founded by veterans who helped build parts of the modern mobile ad stack — has raised uncomfortable questions about AppLovin’s moat. CloudX is explicitly targeting mediation, optimisation, and workflow automation using AI agents, which strikes at the heart of AppLovin’s value proposition to publishers.

                                          That matters because AppLovin is no longer diversified. After divesting its gaming business, it’s essentially a single-bet ad-tech company wrapped in an AI narrative. When that narrative is challenged, the valuation doesn’t gently compress — it snaps.

                                          The speed and magnitude of the sell-off suggest many investors were crowded into the trade, extrapolating recent success too far. In that context, taking profits near the highs looks less like good luck and more like discipline.

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                                          Cobens is a trading name of Cobens Group Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. We are entered on the Financial Services Register No. 05850981 at https://register.fca.org.uk .

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